The end of demographic dividend may become the biggest crisis in the industry

 

In recent years, China's economy has declined, with cyclical fluctuation factors, but more is the trend decline of growth rate. In this downward trend, a very important factor is the "disappearance" of the demographic dividend. The optimistic estimation of the market in the tricycle industry is based on the huge demographic dividend, which is often said that "tricycles have a huge rural market and just demand". However, with the end of the demographic dividend, it may become the biggest crisis in the industry and the biggest crisis that the industry will face in the future.

 

Impact of continuous price rise tide

 

Recently, the price rise tide has been continuous. The rise of steel, batteries and raw materials has directly led to the crazy rise of vehicle costs. The cost pressure of parts and vehicle enterprises in the tricycle industry chain continues to increase, and the profits continue to decline.

 

Some small and medium-sized brands should be the most affected by the rise in raw material prices, which has a relatively small impact on the product prices of some large brands. However, if this round of cost surge continues, it will affect the achievement of the production and sales targets of the whole industry.

 

Strengthening environmental protection supervision

 

Many enterprises that do not meet the environmental protection requirements have to face rectification, and some small and medium-sized enterprises that do not meet the standards after rectification will also be cleared out. In addition, the further compression and standardization of tricycle right of way by local governments will also lead to the readjustment of tricycle industry and the survival of the fittest, which will achieve a new situation after transformation and upgrading.

 

Of course, the continued reshuffle of the tricycle industry will force channel providers to further adjust and optimize their own product structure, and the tricycle industry may grow against the trend.

 

1. At present, there are about 10 tricycle enterprises with middle-aged production and sales of more than 100000 sets. On the one hand, it shows that the industry needs further integration. On the other hand, it shows that there is still a lot of room for improvement in the industry. Some enterprises seize opportunities and have great development opportunities.

 

2. The construction of new urbanization has always been a government decision vigorously promoted by the state. For the construction of new countryside, it will become the strongest driving force for the sales growth of tricycle industry. In reality, tricycles have always been an indispensable tool for new rural construction, and the proportion of China's rural population is so large that there is a huge demand space. At the same time, with the improvement of the living standards of urban and rural residents, it will also help to stimulate the sales growth of tricycles.

 

3. The transformation and upgrading of tricycle industry is imminent. The core competitiveness of future development lies in innovation, high technology and intelligence. Therefore, in the face of industry difficulties, we should see the dawn of industry development. Only by accelerating industrial upgrading and improving R & D and innovation ability can we enhance competitiveness. At present, the transformation and upgrading of the tricycle industry is in a situation of both challenges and opportunities. The continuous emergence of new industrial technologies such as industry 4.0 and industrial big data also ushers in new development opportunities for the tricycle industry.

 

At present, the demand trend will continue to decline. Advantageous enterprises in the industry have entered the final stage for two to three years. The "last shot" has finally come, and the industry is about to reshuffle and re rank!